Skip to content

Global Disease Modelling

We help shape how the world responds to infectious diseases: guiding vaccine and treatment development, and advising on public health measures to control and eliminate disease. Our mathematical models capture how diseases spread, how severe infections are, and how childhood exposure shapes health across a lifetime.

The Global Disease Modelling team develops new mathematical models and methodology applied to diseases with highly complex dynamics.

Led by Professor Melissa Penny, the Global Disease Modelling group improves our understanding of complex diseases through the development of mathematical models and methodologies. Our work addresses contemporary issues in infectious diseases and global health through a better understanding of preventing disease progression and transmission.  

Our focus is on malaria and Strep-A, amongst other infectious diseases. We have also helped improve our understanding of SARS-CoV-2 during the COVID-19 pandemic, aiding in our understanding of interventions. We have developed OpenMalaria and OpenStrepA. 

Here we list our largest current projects and how they contribute to impact. If you would like more information on any of these projects, please feel free to reach out to our team at globaldiseasemodelling@thekids.org.au, or contact any of our team members. 

Team leader

Melissa Penny
Melissa Penny

PhD, PD, BSc (Hons)

Professor Fiona Stanley Chair in Child Health Research

Team members (12)

Josephine Malinga
Josephine Malinga

PhD, MSc, BSc

Senior Research Fellow

Epke Annelie Le Rutte
Epke Annelie Le Rutte

PhD, DVM, MSc (Hons), BSc

Senior research consultant

PhD student (UWA), Research Officer (Part-time)

Baxter Smith
Baxter Smith

MTeach (Sec), BMath (UQ)

Scientific Software Developer

Dang Quang Nguyen
Dang Quang Nguyen

PhD, ME, BEng (Distinction)

Scientific Software Developer

Jacob Marsh
Jacob Marsh

PhD, BSc (Hons)

Senior Research Officer

Senior Research Officer

Aimee Balaam
Aimee Balaam

BSc Nutr. & BSc Health Prom.

Research Support Officer

Julian Heng
Julian Heng

PhD, BSc (Hons), DipCouns

Global Disease Modelling projects

Featured projects

Coefficient Giving

In this project, we will generate model-driven insights to accelerate and optimise how next-generation malaria vaccines and monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) are developed, evaluated, and deployed, across different age groups, use-cases, and transmission settings.

Reimagining OpenMalaria and Supporting Novel Tools

In this project, we will support malaria control and elimination using OpenMalaria: our in-house, open-source, advanced malaria simulation tool.

Global Disease Modelling

Featured work

Shaping global policy on infectious disease with mathematical modelling research

Learn more about Shaping global policy on infectious disease with mathematical modelling research

Leading disease modeller appointed inaugural Fiona Stanley Chair of Child Health Research

Find out more

Modelling the Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in All of Its Twists and Turns

Find out more

The beauty of disease modelling

Find out more

Malaria vaccine could prevent thousands of child deaths

Find out more